Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000541 0.000620 0.000704 0.000799 0.000905 0.001017 0.001146
2025-07-27 0.000414 0.000522 0.000645 0.000794 0.000971 0.001170 0.001412
2025-08-03 0.000340 0.000457 0.000599 0.000779 0.001000 0.001259 0.001584
2025-08-10 0.000295 0.000421 0.000579 0.000788 0.001053 0.001374 0.001787
2025-08-17 0.000257 0.000388 0.000558 0.000790 0.001093 0.001470 0.001967
2025-08-24 0.000216 0.000345 0.000518 0.000763 0.001093 0.001512 0.002078
2025-08-31 0.000184 0.000308 0.000484 0.000739 0.001092 0.001551 0.002183
2025-09-07 0.000163 0.000287 0.000467 0.000737 0.001118 0.001625 0.002333
2025-09-14 0.000146 0.000269 0.000454 0.000738 0.001148 0.001702 0.002489
2025-09-21 0.000129 0.000249 0.000436 0.000730 0.001164 0.001761 0.002621
2025-09-28 0.000113 0.000229 0.000416 0.000717 0.001170 0.001805 0.002734
2025-10-05 0.000106 0.000224 0.000418 0.000737 0.001226 0.001919 0.002944
2025-10-12 0.000098 0.000216 0.000415 0.000750 0.001271 0.002021 0.003141
2025-10-19 0.000087 0.000202 0.000400 0.000743 0.001287 0.002080 0.003279
2025-10-26 0.000077 0.000186 0.000382 0.000729 0.001290 0.002119 0.003390
2025-11-02 0.000071 0.000179 0.000378 0.000738 0.001327 0.002210 0.003577
2025-11-09 0.000064 0.000170 0.000371 0.000739 0.001354 0.002286 0.003742
2025-11-16 0.000055 0.000154 0.000348 0.000714 0.001336 0.002293 0.003806
2025-11-23 0.000047 0.000140 0.000328 0.000691 0.001320 0.002302 0.003873
2025-11-30 0.000043 0.000132 0.000319 0.000689 0.001338 0.002364 0.004018
2025-12-07 0.000039 0.000126 0.000313 0.000690 0.001361 0.002432 0.004176
2025-12-14 0.000035 0.000118 0.000303 0.000682 0.001370 0.002479 0.004300
2025-12-21 0.000030 0.000109 0.000290 0.000670 0.001368 0.002509 0.004400